Monday, 22 September 2014

In South Africa you stand a 1 in 51 chance of being murdered in a lifetime

According to official data released by the SA Police Service 410,804 people were murdered in South Africa between 1994, when liberals put the ANC in power, and 31 March 2014:

2013: 17,068
2012: 16,259
2011: 15,609
2010: 15,940
2009: 16,834
2008: 18,148
2007: 18,487
2006: 19,202
2005: 18,528
2004: 18,793
2003: 19,824
2002: 21,553
2001: 21,405
2000: 21,758
1999: 22,604
1998: 25,127
1997: 24,486
1996: 25,470
1995: 26,877
1994: 26,832
Total: 410,804

South Africa, with a population of only 52.98 million (according to the latest Census, a survey among people with fixed addresses), has among the highest rates of violent crime in the world.

With murders up more than nine percent in the past two years, South Africa's murder rate is 5 times higher than the global average of 6 murders per 100,000.

The number of murders increased by 5% and attempted murder by 4.6% over the period 1 April 2013 to 31 March 2014, compared to the previous financial year, reaching a total of 17,068 murders. This calculates to almost 47 murders each day, or just under two murders every hour. "That sort of figure is what one would expect in a war zone." Democratic Alliance MP Dianne Kohler Barnard said.

South Africa's official murder rate increased to 32.2 per 100,000 people, but what does this mean to the average citizen?

In the U.K., with a murder rate of 1.2 per 100,000, your chances of getting murdered in one year are 1 in 83,333. With life expectancy in the UK being 81.50 years, your chances of being murdered in a lifetime are 1 in 1022; In New York City your chances of being murdered in one year are 1 in 19,607 and 1 in 250 per lifetime.

In South Africa your chances of being murdered in one year are 1 in 3,105, while with a life-expectancy of 61.2 years, you have a 1 in 51 chance of being murdered during an average lifetime.

In the Eastern Cape, with a murder rate of 52.1 per 100,000, your chances of getting murdered in one year are 1 in 1,919, while in a life time it comes to 1 in 31.

KwaZulu-Natal could be considered the “riskiest” province, with 3,625 murders, down from 3,629 in 2012 financial year.

In the Eastern Cape 3,453 people were murdered, an increase of 3.3%.

Gauteng, the most populous province in South Africa, saw a marked spike in murders, with 11.2% more cases reported in 2013/2014. A total of 3,333 people were murdered during the 2013/2014 financial year.

Murders in the Western Cape increased by 12.8% to 2,909 from 2,580 in 2012/2013.

Free State: 946 murders, North West: 825 murders, Mpumalanga: 810 murders, Limpopo: 729 and in the Northern Cape: 438 people were murdered.

Is there a place more dangerous than South Africa?

Honduras has the world’s highest murder rate: 90.4 murders per 100,000 people. Honduran sources report lower rates of about 75 to 80 homicides per 100,000 people. At 90.4/100,000 your chances of being murdered in Honduras in one year is 1 in 1106, while with a life expectancy of 73 years, your chances of being murdered in a life time is 1 in 14.

At the current rate South Africa will soon overtake Honduras.

It should also be noted that, in 2011/12 South Africa's "official" murder rate was 30.9 per 100 000. According to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) in collaboration with the World Health Organisation, at the time, South Africa's murder rate was estimated to be as high as 69.0 per 100,000!

If we are to work on that estimate now, your REAL chances of being murdered in South Africa ranges from between 1 in 3105 (official 2013/2014 stats) to as high as 1 in 1,449 (UN/WHO Estimate) in one year, which would mean that in an average lifetime your chances of being murdered in South Africa would be 1 in 24, versus 1 in 14 in Honduras.

Life threatening crimes are increasing and will continue to do so

Bank robberies, which are armed robberies, spiked by 200% in the 2013/2014 financial year. The SA Banking Risk Information Centre (Sabric)'s crime statistics indicated an increase in bank robberies, bank burglaries and Cash In Transit (CIT) robberies (armed robberies) in the 2013/14 financial year.

Robberies at retail businesses (also armed robberies of course) increased by 30% and financial losses through these robberies grew by 32%.

Business robbery (armed) is up by 13.7% with 2 238 more attacks.

Illegal possession of firearms and ammunition increased 2.5%. These firearms and ammunition are used in armed attacks.

Car hijacking (also armed attacks) is up by 12.3% with 1 231 more attacks than occurred the previous year.

Truck hijacking (armed) increased by 5.1%.

Home robbery (usually armed attacks) is up 7.4%, with 1 334 more cases than the previous year.

The total number of "robberies with aggravating circumstances" (potentially deadly or which caused death) increase to 119 351, up from 105 888 the year before, a 12.7% increase.

It should be obvious that as life threatening crimes increase, the potential for murder also increases.

During 2013, ANC Regime spent R70-billion on the SA Police and the South African public spent another R70-billion on private security in a futile attempt to prevent crime.

Do these latest statistics make sense?

The Institute for Security Studies (ISS) senior researcher Dr Chandre Gould said the anomalies in the 2013/2014 crime statistics were concerning. "The most serious categories of violent crimes have increased. Yet, curiously, cases of common and aggravated assault are down," she said.

Here is another example of how the manipulation of SA crime statistics comes crashing down:

“Total sexual crimes” as reported by the SA Police now include 59 separate offences ranging from sex work to rape. Increases or decreases in such a broad category of crime cannot tell us much. Due the new broader definition of "Sexual Crime", overall sexual offences now show it as having decreased by 11.2% since 2008/9.

Drug-related crimes have increased by 26.1 percent in the 2013/14 financial year. Drug-related crimes increased by 210.4 percent over the past ten years.

"Drug related crimes are higher", while "Rape is down by over 6%"? How does that make sense? It is a well-established fact that drugs, crime and especially rape go hand in hand.

The reason why SA crime statistics are released only once a year and six months after the end of the financial year is because the powers that be need enough time to manipulate the figures downward in an attempt to make it seem better than it really is.

And, like Democratic Alliance MP Dianne Kohler Barnard said, "What help is it to a home-owner to find out now that 18 months ago there was a massive increase in carjackings or house robberies in his area?"

South Africa's murder statistics could be understated by as much as 47% to 50% and notwithstanding the ANC Regime and their liberal helpers' best attempts to manipulate the crime statistics, crime in South Africa has been on the increase since 1994 and will grow much worse in future.

Had liberals, their beloved ANC regime and its loyal media not denied murder, rape & crime in South Africa, millions of victims could have been spared.

Sources and further reading

Why Africa Check failed to disprove Steve Hofmeyr - Whites ARE dying like flies

South African national crime statistics 2013/2014

FACTSHEET: South Africa's official crime statistics for 2013/14

SA murder rate increases for second straight year

SA murder rate 5 times higher than global average

SA murder rate reflective of 'a war zone'

Murder most foul: SA's deadliest provinces

SA crime statistics 2013/2014 outlining the murder ratio per 100,000 people per province

Murder up, sexual violence down, but do you feel safe?

Crime stats show that South Africa isn’t safe

Drug related crimes higher

Crime stats: Increase in serious crimes a cause for concern

SA Crime Statistics 2013/2014 : Sexual crime ratio per 100,000 citizens in each of South Africa’s provinces

Murder rate in global violence hotspots plunges 40% in 15 years as policing improves
Nations as diverse as Estonia, Hong Kong, South Africa, Poland, and Russia have seen average recorded murder rates drop by 40 per cent or more and out of 88 countries where trend data could be found, 67 showed a decline in homicide.

Cokie Roberts: Chances of getting murdered in New York are 1 in 25,000; in Honduras it's 1 in 14

South Africa's life expectancy jumps to 61.2 years

A Lesson in Mathematics South African Style

Trio crimes increase by 10.8%

Retail robberies up 30% - consumer council

SA more violent - FF Plus

Fighting bank crime needs joint effort - Sabric

South Africa urgently needs a new approach to crime, violence and public safety

Download the full crime stats fact sheet
Explaining the official crime statistics for 2013/14 (ISS)

Release crime stats more often – ISS

Our R140bn crime rip-off
The ANC Regime wasted R70bn on SA Police & the SA public another R70bn on private security to prevent crime

Violence And Private Security In South Africa

By the Numbers: Is the UK really 5 times more violent than the US?

Murders in the UK

Crime rate in England and Wales falls 15% to its lowest level in 33 years

List of countries by intentional homicide rate - Wikipedia

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